Where the model disagrees with the experts
The players Waiver ranks furthest from FantasyPros' expert consensus, taken October 30, for
weeks 8–18. These are the calls that set the model apart, and the ones most likely to be
wrong, so the scorecard grades them once the games are played.
QB RB WR TE Quarterbacks
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
J.J. McCarthy QB18 QB28 13.9 Recent production +2.2 · Efficiency over expected +0.3 Daniel Jones QB23 QB30 13.6 Recent production +1.2 · Snap share +0.2 Jacoby Brissett QB21 QB27 13.8 Recent production +1.6 · Snap share +0.4 Matthew Stafford QB7 QB12 17.0 Recent production +2.4 · Offensive environment +1.9 Patrick Mahomes QB5 QB10 17.3 Recent production +2.9 · Offensive environment +1.4
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Jayden Daniels QB22 QB13 13.7 Missed games −1.0 · Usage trend −0.7 Kyler Murray QB30 QB21 11.9 Usage trend −1.6 · Missed games −0.9 Malik Willis QB24 QB17 13.5 Offensive environment −1.6 · Missed games −0.9 Lamar Jackson QB11 QB4 15.9 Missed games −1.3 · Snap share −0.6 Geno Smith QB29 QB23 12.7 Missed games −1.2 · Offensive environment −0.8
Running backs
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Pierre Strong RB42 RB110 6.7 Offensive environment +0.2 · Goal-line share +0.1 Justice Hill RB47 RB71 5.9 Route participation +0.4 · Efficiency over expected +0.2 Emanuel Wilson RB29 RB46 10.0 Opportunity share +1.3 · Baseline for role +0.9 Braelon Allen RB19 RB35 11.7 Opportunity share +1.7 · Baseline for role +1.3 J.K. Dobbins RB28 RB43 10.0 Opportunity share +1.3 · Baseline for role +1.0
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Travis Etienne IR RB73 RB34 3.5 Missed games −9.3 · Offensive environment −0.1 Emmett Johnson RB66 RB41 4.3 Recent production −1.3 · Opportunity share −0.9 TreVeyon Henderson Q RB61 RB37 4.9 Opportunity share −0.9 · Missed games −0.7 Mike Washington Jr. RB63 RB45 4.5 Recent production −1.0 · Missed games −0.5 Saquon Barkley RB36 RB18 8.3 Missed games −1.3 · Route participation −0.4
Wide receivers
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Xavier Hutchinson WR59 WR98 6.9 Baseline for role +0.4 · Usage trend +0.2 DeMario Douglas WR52 WR72 7.6 Route participation +0.5 · Baseline for role +0.4 Keon Coleman WR47 WR66 8.8 Recent production +1.0 · Route participation +0.8 Tre Tucker WR26 WR42 11.2 Recent production +2.5 · Opportunity share +0.9 Devaughn Vele WR40 WR56 9.5 Recent production +1.4 · Route participation +1.2
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Ladd McConkey WR72 WR33 5.8 Opportunity share −0.7 · Missed games −0.5 DJ Moore Q WR58 WR29 7.2 Missed games −1.0 · Route participation −0.4 Davante Adams IR WR86 WR60 4.8 Missed games −10.1 · Efficiency over expected −0.2 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR77 WR53 5.2 Route participation −0.7 · Recent production −0.5 Denzel Boston WR51 WR31 8.2 Missed games −0.7 · Offensive environment −0.5
Tight ends
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Tyler Higbee TE18 TE28 8.1 Opportunity share +0.9 · Route participation +0.8 Greg Dulcich TE20 TE30 8.0 Opportunity share +1.7 · Recent production +0.9 Cade Otton TE23 TE33 7.5 Opportunity share +1.6 · Route participation +0.6 Michael Mayer TE17 TE24 8.2 Opportunity share +1.7 · Baseline for role +0.7 Travis Kelce TE5 TE8 10.7 Opportunity share +2.8 · Recent production +1.3
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Terrance Ferguson IR TE71 TE20 2.4 Missed games −4.2 · Route participation −0.4 T.J. Hockenson TE25 TE15 7.4 Missed games −0.8 · Route participation −0.4 Jake Ferguson TE28 TE23 6.5 Missed games −0.6 · Route participation −0.1 Pat Freiermuth TE27 TE22 6.6 Missed games −0.6 · Offensive environment −0.2 Juwan Johnson TE22 TE17 7.7 Missed games −0.9 · Offensive environment −0.2