Where the model disagrees with the experts
The players Waiver ranks furthest from FantasyPros' expert consensus, taken September 11, for
weeks 2–18. These are the calls that set the model apart, and the ones most likely to be
wrong, so the scorecard grades them once the games are played.
QB RB WR TE Quarterbacks
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Patrick Mahomes QB7 QB16 17.1 Recent production +3.8 · Snap share +0.4 Baker Mayfield QB12 QB21 16.1 Recent production +3.1 · Snap share +0.2 Jacoby Brissett QB21 QB29 14.7 Recent production +1.8 · Snap share +0.2 Daniel Jones QB15 QB22 15.5 Recent production +2.2 · Snap share +0.3 Bryce Young QB19 QB26 14.8 Recent production +1.8 · Goal-line share +0.4
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Malik Willis QB27 QB15 12.0 Missed games −0.7 · Snap share −0.6 Joe Burrow QB14 QB4 15.9 Missed games −1.1 · Goal-line share −0.2 Sam Darnold O QB30 QB23 11.5 Missed games −1.3 · Snap share −0.6 Dak Prescott QB17 QB10 15.1 Missed games −1.3 · Efficiency over expected −0.2 Kyler Murray O QB23 QB17 13.6 Missed games −1.6 · Snap share −0.2
Running backs
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB39 RB61 8.5 Baseline for role +0.9 · Opportunity share +0.6 Kimani Vidal RB37 RB56 8.5 Opportunity share +0.9 · Baseline for role +0.7 Najee Harris RB46 RB60 7.3 Opportunity share +1.0 · Recent production +0.7 Jadarian Price RB10 RB24 13.9 Recent production +2.7 · Opportunity share +2.1 J.K. Dobbins RB23 RB36 11.4 Opportunity share +1.7 · Recent production +1.4
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Bhayshul Tuten RB60 RB22 5.5 Recent production −0.7 · Missed games −0.6 Jonathon Brooks RB52 RB25 6.4 Missed games −0.7 · Route participation −0.5 Keaton Mitchell RB74 RB47 4.4 Recent production −1.1 · Opportunity share −0.9 Jonah Coleman RB69 RB44 4.6 Recent production −2.4 · Opportunity share −0.8 Blake Corum RB49 RB31 6.7 Missed games −0.8 · Recent production −0.6
Wide receivers
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Devaughn Vele WR57 WR91 7.8 Recent production +0.9 · Route participation +0.6 Jakobi Meyers WR20 WR46 11.7 Recent production +2.6 · Route participation +1.0 Michael Wilson WR28 WR54 11.0 Recent production +2.5 · Route participation +1.0 Cooper Kupp WR58 WR83 7.7 Route participation +0.9 · Baseline for role +0.4 Keenan Allen WR40 WR59 10.2 Recent production +2.4 · Route participation +0.7
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
A.J. Brown IR WR119 WR6 3.8 Missed games −9.7 Luther Burden III WR62 WR27 7.4 Missed games −0.6 · Opportunity share −0.3 Tre Harris WR89 WR60 5.2 Recent production −1.5 · Opportunity share −0.6 Jaylen Waddle WR42 WR15 10.1 Missed games −0.9 Denzel Boston WR72 WR53 6.3 Recent production −1.2 · Missed games −0.5
Tight ends
Waiver ranks him higher
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Cade Otton TE9 TE29 9.3 Opportunity share +2.1 · Route participation +1.0 Michael Mayer TE22 TE39 7.6 Opportunity share +1.7 · Baseline for role +0.7 Kenyon Sadiq TE11 TE25 9.2 Opportunity share +2.3 · Baseline for role +1.5 Hunter Henry TE10 TE21 9.2 Opportunity share +1.8 · Route participation +1.0 Dallas Goedert TE5 TE13 10.1 Opportunity share +2.5 · Recent production +1.1
Waiver ranks him lower
Player Waiver Experts Points per game What the model sees
Terrance Ferguson TE59 TE22 3.3 Opportunity share −0.9 · Recent production −0.5 Isaiah Likely TE27 TE10 6.7 Missed games −0.6 · Route participation −0.4 Greg Dulcich TE32 TE15 6.2 Missed games −0.6 · Route participation −0.5 Colston Loveland TE18 TE3 8.4 Missed games −0.8 · Offensive environment −0.1 Chig Okonkwo Q TE29 TE19 6.6 Missed games −0.7 · Offensive environment −0.2