Week 7: how the picks actually did
In week 7, Waiver ordered players correctly 86.5% of the time, ahead of expert consensus on 78.5%.
Against the experts
Every pair of players at the same position whose scores finished at least two points apart, and how often each source put them in the right order. A player whose team played and who did not counts as the zero he scored.
| Source | Right order |
|---|---|
| Waiver | 86.5% |
| Expert consensus | 78.5% |
| Going by recent points | 77.1% |
Against Sleeper's projections
Over the 313 players both Waiver and Sleeper projected, scored the same way on the same games. Sleeper's numbers were captured before the games.
| Source | Right order |
|---|---|
| Waiver | 78.3% |
| Sleeper | 78.6% |
11115 pairs counted.
The calls against consensus
The players Waiver ranked furthest from the experts before the week. It was nearer the finish on 11 of 21.
| Player | Waiver | Experts | Finished | Nearer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB19 | QB26 | QB15 · 16.5 | Waiver |
| Daniel Jones | QB21 | QB28 | QB29 · 3.6 | Experts |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB12 | QB18 | QB20 · 13.1 | Experts |
| Lamar Jackson | QB17 | QB2 | QB34 · 0.0 | Waiver |
| Bo Nix | QB26 | QB19 | QB3 · 26.2 | Experts |
| Pierre Strong | RB27 | RB112 | RB71 · 0.0 | Experts |
| Dameon Pierce | RB33 | RB61 | RB24 · 11.8 | Waiver |
| Justice Hill | RB48 | RB72 | RB42 · 6.3 | Waiver |
| Jadarian Price | RB82 | RB46 | RB112 · 0.0 | Waiver |
| Emmett Johnson | RB65 | RB42 | RB50 · 3.7 | Experts |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB56 | RB34 | RB48 · 4.3 | Waiver |
| DeMario Douglas | WR53 | WR76 | WR51 · 5.3 | Waiver |
| Ryan Flournoy | WR46 | WR64 | WR23 · 11.0 | Waiver |
| Keenan Allen | WR36 | WR52 | WR45 · 6.1 | Experts |
| Davante Adams | WR97 | WR58 | WR107 · 0.0 | Waiver |
| Cade Otton | TE20 | TE33 | TE72 · 0.0 | Experts |
| Mark Andrews | TE11 | TE20 | TE31 · 5.3 | Experts |
| Tyler Higbee | TE19 | TE26 | TE36 · 3.4 | Experts |
| Terrance Ferguson | TE77 | TE18 | TE92 · 0.0 | Waiver |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE27 | TE17 | TE10 · 13.5 | Experts |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE28 | TE19 | TE51 · 1.6 | Waiver |
Every number here is measured on games already played, against the same players and the same scoring. Weeks the site loses are reported too: a record that only shows wins is not a record. The scorecard carries the running totals, and every report is kept.