Waiver Season 2026 · week 3 · updated Sep 22

Week 2: how the picks actually did

Week 2 · 22 September 2026

In week 2, Waiver ordered players correctly 86.9% of the time, ahead of expert consensus on 82.5%.

Against the experts

Every pair of players at the same position whose scores finished at least two points apart, and how often each source put them in the right order. A player whose team played and who did not counts as the zero he scored.

SourceRight order
Waiver86.9%
Expert consensus82.5%
Going by recent points78.2%

Against Sleeper's projections

Over the 435 players both Waiver and Sleeper projected, scored the same way on the same games. Sleeper's numbers were captured before the games.

SourceRight order
Waiver75.7%
Sleeper76.1%

15543 pairs counted.

The calls against consensus

The players Waiver ranked furthest from the experts before the week. It was nearer the finish on 9 of 24.

PlayerWaiverExpertsFinishedNearer
Jacoby BrissettQB21QB30QB28 · 6.5Experts
Daniel JonesQB15QB24QB23 · 11.4Experts
Matthew StaffordQB11QB18QB6 · 27.0Waiver
Malik WillisQB26QB16QB21 · 12.5Even
Joe BurrowQB14QB6QB14 · 16.2Waiver
Dak PrescottQB18QB11QB3 · 29.8Experts
Michael CarterRB40RB118RB99 · 0.0Experts
Alvin KamaraRB28RB52RB37 · 7.2Waiver
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB39RB61RB124 · 0.0Experts
Jordan MasonRB112RB35RB87 · 0.0Waiver
Bhayshul TutenRB59RB22RB13 · 14.2Experts
Keaton MitchellRB74RB45RB43 · 4.9Experts
Marquise BrownWR60WR116WR110 · 1.2Experts
Jakobi MeyersWR20WR50WR80 · 3.8Experts
Cooper KuppWR57WR82WR78 · 4.0Experts
A.J. BrownWR122WR19WR144 · 0.0Waiver
Luther Burden IIIWR62WR26WR62 · 6.2Waiver
Jaylen WaddleWR41WR14WR10 · 21.8Experts
Cade OttonTE9TE26TE16 · 8.8Waiver
Kenyon SadiqTE11TE25TE30 · 3.7Experts
Michael MayerTE22TE35TE25 · 5.3Waiver
Terrance FergusonTE59TE22TE8 · 17.4Experts
Isaiah LikelyTE28TE12TE19 · 8.3Experts
Colston LovelandTE17TE3TE52 · 1.3Waiver

Every number here is measured on games already played, against the same players and the same scoring. Weeks the site loses are reported too: a record that only shows wins is not a record. The scorecard carries the running totals, and every report is kept.