Waiver Season 2026 · week 4 · updated Sep 29

Zach Ertz rest-of-season outlook

TE · PHI · TE36 in the rankings

Expected points per game, PPR
5.5
Over replacement, 12 teams
−3.0
Snap share
61%
Target share
15%
Route rate
56%

Expected points count every game from week 4 to 18, each weighted by his chance of playing it, so a game he misses counts as zero.

WeekOpponentChance he playsPoints if he playsExpected points
4LA86%6.05.1
5JAX86%6.35.4
6CAR86%6.55.5
7DAL86%6.75.8
8WAS86%6.85.8
9NYG86%6.25.4
11PIT86%6.25.3
12DAL86%6.75.8
13ARI86%6.75.8
14IND86%6.55.5
15SEA86%6.55.5
16HOU86%6.45.5
17SF86%6.25.3
18NYG86%6.25.4

Bye in week 10.

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