Jaylin Noel rest-of-season outlook

WR · HOU · WR173 in the rankings

IR On injured reserve (toe). He is out through at least week 11. His chance of playing is 10% in week 12, rising to 43% by week 18, going by how long players placed on reserve have stayed out since 2022.

Expected points per game, PPR: 1.5
Points in games he plays: 7.2
Over replacement, 12 teams: −8.4
Snap share: 39%
Target share: 8%
Route rate: 37%

Expected points count every game from week 8 to 18, each weighted by his chance of playing it, so a game he misses counts as zero.

Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
9	LAC	0%	7.3	0.0
10	CLE	0%	7.1	0.0
11	IND	0%	7.1	0.0
12	BAL	10%	7.2	0.7
13	PIT	19%	7.1	1.4
14	WAS	27%	7.2	1.9
15	JAX	33%	7.2	2.4
16	PHI	37%	7.2	2.7
17	GB	40%	7.1	2.8
18	TEN	43%	7.2	3.1

Bye in week 8.

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Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
9	LAC	0%	7.3	0.0
10	CLE	0%	7.1	0.0
11	IND	0%	7.1	0.0
12	BAL	10%	7.2	0.7
13	PIT	19%	7.1	1.4
14	WAS	27%	7.2	1.9
15	JAX	33%	7.2	2.4
16	PHI	37%	7.2	2.7
17	GB	40%	7.1	2.8
18	TEN	43%	7.2	3.1

Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
9	LAC	0%	7.3	0.0
10	CLE	0%	7.1	0.0
11	IND	0%	7.1	0.0
12	BAL	10%	7.2	0.7
13	PIT	19%	7.1	1.4
14	WAS	27%	7.2	1.9
15	JAX	33%	7.2	2.4
16	PHI	37%	7.2	2.7
17	GB	40%	7.1	2.8
18	TEN	43%	7.2	3.1

Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
9	LAC	0%	7.3	0.0
10	CLE	0%	7.1	0.0
11	IND	0%	7.1	0.0
12	BAL	10%	7.2	0.7
13	PIT	19%	7.1	1.4
14	WAS	27%	7.2	1.9
15	JAX	33%	7.2	2.4
16	PHI	37%	7.2	2.7
17	GB	40%	7.1	2.8
18	TEN	43%	7.2	3.1