Derrick Henry rest-of-season outlook
- Expected points per game, PPR
- 13.8
- Over replacement, 12 teams
- +3.9
- Snap share
- 54%
- Carry share
- 63%
- Goal-line share
- 53%
Expected points count every game from week 2 to 18, each weighted by his chance of playing it, so a game he misses counts as zero.
| Week | Opponent | Chance he plays | Points if he plays | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NO | 86% | 16.5 | 14.2 |
| 3 | DAL | 86% | 16.1 | 13.8 |
| 4 | TEN | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 5 | ATL | 86% | 16.1 | 13.8 |
| 6 | CLE | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 7 | CIN | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 8 | BUF | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 9 | JAX | 86% | 16.1 | 13.8 |
| 10 | LAC | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 11 | CAR | 86% | 16.8 | 14.4 |
| 12 | HOU | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 14 | TB | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 15 | PIT | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 16 | CLE | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 17 | CIN | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
| 18 | PIT | 86% | 16.0 | 13.8 |
Bye in week 13.