Alec Pierce rest-of-season outlook

WR · IND · WR152 in the rankings

IR On injured reserve (heel). His chance of playing is 10% in week 8, rising to 40% by week 18, going by how long players placed on reserve have stayed out since 2022.

Expected points per game, PPR: 2.2
Points in games he plays: 7.2
Over replacement, 12 teams: −7.7
Snap share: 68%
Target share: 14%
Route rate: 62%

Expected points count every game from week 8 to 18, each weighted by his chance of playing it, so a game he misses counts as zero.

Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
8	JAX	10%	6.9	0.7
9	DAL	18%	7.2	1.3
10	MIA	26%	7.2	1.8
11	HOU	30%	7.2	2.1
12	NYG	33%	7.2	2.3
14	PHI	37%	7.2	2.6
15	TEN	38%	7.2	2.7
16	CIN	38%	7.2	2.7
17	CLE	39%	7.2	2.8
18	JAX	40%	7.2	2.9

Bye in week 13.

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Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
8	JAX	10%	6.9	0.7
9	DAL	18%	7.2	1.3
10	MIA	26%	7.2	1.8
11	HOU	30%	7.2	2.1
12	NYG	33%	7.2	2.3
14	PHI	37%	7.2	2.6
15	TEN	38%	7.2	2.7
16	CIN	38%	7.2	2.7
17	CLE	39%	7.2	2.8
18	JAX	40%	7.2	2.9

Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
8	JAX	10%	6.9	0.7
9	DAL	18%	7.2	1.3
10	MIA	26%	7.2	1.8
11	HOU	30%	7.2	2.1
12	NYG	33%	7.2	2.3
14	PHI	37%	7.2	2.6
15	TEN	38%	7.2	2.7
16	CIN	38%	7.2	2.7
17	CLE	39%	7.2	2.8
18	JAX	40%	7.2	2.9

Week	Opponent	Chance he plays	Points if he plays	Expected points
8	JAX	10%	6.9	0.7
9	DAL	18%	7.2	1.3
10	MIA	26%	7.2	1.8
11	HOU	30%	7.2	2.1
12	NYG	33%	7.2	2.3
14	PHI	37%	7.2	2.6
15	TEN	38%	7.2	2.7
16	CIN	38%	7.2	2.7
17	CLE	39%	7.2	2.8
18	JAX	40%	7.2	2.9